Lesson 06: Estimating Probabilities Using Simulation | Unit 8: Probability and Sampling

The weather forecast says there is a 75% chance it will rain later today. Describe another way you could simulate this probability.

A store has 20 different hero action figures. To simulate the most commonly chosen action figure, the store manager wants to write the name of each hero on a piece of paper and put it in a bag, then draw from the bag 100 times and see which hero is chosen the most. The store manager finds that this simulation is not a good way to figure out the most commonly chosen hero action figure. Explain why.

A group of 100 people is divided into 5 groups with 20 people in each. One person’s name is chosen, and everyone in their group wins a prize. Noah simulates this situation by writing 100 different names on papers and putting them in a bag, then drawing one out. Kiran suggests there is a way to do it with fewer paper slips. Explain a method that would simulate this situation with fewer than 100 slips of paper.