Untitled Lesson

​Overconfidence:  We tend to think we know more than we do

Hindsight Bias:  The tendency to believe, after learning an outcome that one would have for-seen it along (“I knew it all a long phenomenon”)

Intuition:  the ability to understand some immediately, without the need for conscious reasoning

Psychology is a science, and it is therefore based on research. Though people are often guided effectively by their common intuition, sometimes it leads us astray. People have the tendency upon hearing about research findings (and many other things) to think that they knew it all along; this tendency is called hindsight bias. After an event occurs, it is relatively easy to explain why it happened. The goal of scientific research, however, is to predict what will happen in advance. An understanding of research methods is fundamental to psychology.